FOI - Camden housing and mixed-use schemes [Nov 2026]

I am writing to request specific planning data and cumulative impact assessments concerning six major housing and mixed-use schemes currently consented, submitted, or in formal progression within the NW5 area of the London Borough of Camden. These developments sit in close geographic proximity, separated only by the Midland Main Line and North London Line railway infrastructure. 

The individual schemes are: 

2. West Kentish Town Estate Regeneration (LBC Ref: 2025/2667/P; delivery of c. 856–880 homes) 
3. Bacton Low Rise Phase 2 (Vicars Road / Mount Anvil partnership; delivery of c. 447 468 homes) 
4. Wendling Estate & St Stephens Close (Gospel Oak; proposed redevelopment of 241 existing units to c. 650–750+ homes) 
5. Camden Film Quarter (Regis Road / Yoo Capital, LBC Ref: 2025/4861/P; mixed-use including c. 485 homes) 
6. Murphy’s Yard (Sanderson Close / Highgate Road; site masterplanning / allocation for c. 750–825 homes) 
7. Joseph Homes / SPRING Site (Regis Road Growth Area; mixed-use residential proposals) 

Collectively, these six schemes represent a gross pipeline exceeding 3,500 residential units within a tightly circumscribed urban envelope. Given that the Greater London Authority holds both statutory planning oversight and significant financial involvement across these sites, I am requesting the following specific information: 

1. Total Estimated Population Increase and Demographic Yield Modeling 

• What is the GLA’s current modelled estimate for the total gross and net population increase resulting from the cumulative build-out of these six schemes? 
• What are the specific child yield projections (broken down by primary, secondary, and early years age bands) calculated using the GLA Population and Household Projections / Child Yield Calculator for: 
• (a) each of the six individual schemes; and 
• (b) the combined total across the six schemes? 

2. Baseline Infrastructure and Cumulative Impact Assumptions 

• Under London Plan (2021) Policies S1 (Developing London’s social infrastructure), S2 (Health and social care), S3 (Education and childcare), and T4 (Assessing and mitigating transport impacts), what cumulative infrastructure capacity thresholds has the GLA used when reviewing these applications and pre-applications?
• Specifically, does the GLA have a joined-up cross-departmental impact assessment evaluating whether local primary healthcare (GP provision), primary/secondary school rolls, water and drainage utility networks, and local public transport access nodes (Kentish Town, Gospel Oak, and Kentish Town West stations) can absorb this combined population influx? 

3. Clarification of GLA Level of Involvement and Funding Mechanisms To ensure public transparency regarding the Mayor’s dual role as both the strategic planning authority and an investment partner, please confirm the precise extent of the GLA’s formal involvement in each site: 

• West Kentish Town: The total capital grant sum committed to date under the London Estate Regeneration Fund (LERF) or Affordable Homes Programme (AHP), and the conditions attached regarding net additional population and unit density. 
• Bacton Low Rise Phase 2: The extent to which Mount Anvil’s delivery of this scheme utilizes or is underwritten by the GLA Land and Property (GLAP) £50 million revolving credit facility (decisions DD2424 / DD2774), and what tenure monitoring the GLA exercises over this site. 
• Wendling & St Stephens: The current status of GLA grant allocations or pipeline agreements following the July 2021 ballot. 
• Camden Film Quarter & Regis Road Land: The record of Mayoral strategic advocacy (including commercial promotion via London & Partners or MIPIM delegations), and the status of the Stage 1/Stage 2 referable planning evaluation regarding industrial land substitution (London Plan Policies E4–E7).
• Murphy’s Yard & Joseph Homes: The parameters established during GLA pre application discussions regarding maximum residential density, housing mix, and cumulative transport trip generation along the Highgate Road and Kentish Town Road corridors.

Our response

The GLA holds some information within scope of your request, however, part of point 3 has been exempted under section 43(2) Commercial Interests of the FoIA. 

1. Total Estimated Population Increase and Demographic Yield Modeling

GLA population projections are produced for aggregate areas (currently 2022 electoral wards and 2021 Middle-layer Super Output Areas). These projections are based on assumptions about future housing delivery consistent with capacity identified in the 2026 London Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment: 2026 London SHLAA Final Report_corrections_11_09_26.pdf

The nature of the models used by the GLA means that changes in population cannot be definitively attributed to additional homes resulting from a particular housing site or scheme, as the results are also influenced by changes to the age structure of the local population, the number and distribution of homes built in other areas, and assumptions made about wider fertility, mortality, and migration trends.

The results of the projections, including an annual breakdown of the projected population for each area by age and sex, are available to download at: Housing-led population projections | London Datastore

The ward-level results can additionally be accessed through the interactive tool here: London's Population Projections

The Population Yield Calculator is a tool based on data from the 2011 Census and intended to provide a common starting point for discussions about the potential number and characteristics of residents of new housing developments. Outputs taken directly from the Calculator should not be interpreted as "projections" for a scheme. Given the age of the data in the tool, it is important to consider changes in context that have occurred since 2011, with many parts of London having since experienced lower rates of fertility and falling numbers of resident children: GLA Population Yield Calculator | London Datastore

2. Baseline Infrastructure and Cumulative Impact Assumptions

Information not held.

3. Clarification of GLA Level of Involvement and Funding Mechanisms To ensure public transparency regarding the Mayor’s dual role as both the strategic planning authority and an investment partner, please confirm the precise extent of the GLA’s formal involvement in each site:

• West Kentish Town: We can confirm that LB Camden secured a share of the overall £50million LERF and an allocation to support the delivery of Phase 1 under the Mayor’s Affordable Homes Programme 2021-26.

We hold information relating to the negotiated grant settlement between the GLA and the London Borough of Camden. However, we are refusing to disclose this information under section 43(2) of the FoIA, which exempts information where disclosure would, or would be likely to, prejudice the commercial interests of any person. 

Disclosure of the details of the settlement would be likely to prejudice the commercial interests of both the GLA and the London Borough of Camden by undermining their ability to negotiate effectively in future discussions of a similar nature. Releasing this information could weaken the negotiating positions of the parties and adversely affect their ability to secure favourable outcomes in future agreements. 

Section 43(2) is a qualified exemption and therefore requires consideration of the public interest test. We recognise there is a public interest in transparency and accountability regarding decisions involving public funds.

However, we consider that this is outweighed by the public interest in protecting the ability of the GLA and other public authorities to conduct negotiations effectively and to safeguard their commercial interests. Disclosure of the settlement terms would be likely to prejudice future negotiations and reduce the ability of public bodies to achieve best value for the public purse. For these reasons, the requested information is withheld under section 43(2) of the FoIA.

• Bacton Low Rise Phase 2: To confirm, Bacton Low Rise Phase 2 scheme is not part of the existing GLALP facility at the moment. Mount Anvil listed it as a potential future scheme, but has not been factored in and has not drawn the GLALP loan or sought approval for this scheme to be included as a future scheme yet. 
• Wendling & St Stephens: At the current time there is no approved funding allocation for this scheme.
• Camden Film Quarter & Regis Road Land: Information not held
• Murphy’s Yard & Joseph Homes: Information not held