Transport modelling

MQT on 2019-07-18
Session date: 
July 18, 2019
Question By: 
Caroline Russell
City Hall Greens
Asked Of: 
The Mayor


Campaigners have raised concerns that despite plans at both the London and borough level for reducing traffic, projected future demand for increased traffic is being used to block schemes for walking and cycling. Could you ask Transport for London (TfL) to ensure their modelling incorporates planned reductions in traffic and is supportive of the changes need to deliver your mode share targets?


Answer for Transport modelling
Transport modelling

Transport modelling

Answered By: 
The Mayor

Transport for London (TfL) is working to deliver my Transport Strategy, including the mode share targets. TfL expects to see a significant decrease in traffic over the longer term and its strategic modelling reflects that. Specific schemes are modelled based on projections of what a local network will look like up to three years in the future, taking into account growth, development and changing travel behaviours, including mode shift. This approach gives TfL the most realistic prediction on how the road network will operate in a specific area, allowing it to enhance designs and understand how a scheme will affect the future network.

TfL traffic data shows that, between 2016 and 2018, traffic volumes have declined 5 per cent in central London, remained static in inner London, and have grown by 1.5 per cent in outer London.